HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
255 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010
...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF THE
AREA...BUT IMPACTS WILL STILL BE FELT...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN
SUFFOLK AND SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS AND NEW
YORK HARBOR.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...ESSEX...HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...QUEENS AND NASSAU.
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW LONDON.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS AND NEW
YORK HARBOR.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.7N...LONGITUDE 75.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTH
OF NEW YORK CITY NY...OR ABOUT 670 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
MONTAUK POINT NY. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH...OR 355 DEGREES AT 18
MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 125 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT ON LONG ISLAND...OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
NEW YORK CITY. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN LONG
ISLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS OF
LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM CAN BE FELT WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE
TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND
MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO
YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE
CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS
UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL
SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS
RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 7 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
255 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 69
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH.
HIGHEST GUSTS WILL BE FELT ACROSS THE TWIN FORKS OF LONG ISLAND.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
INCLUDE THE SHORELINES ADJACENT TO LONG ISLAND SOUND AND PECONIC
AND GARDINERS BAY.
...COASTAL HAZARDS...
LARGE WAVES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BEACH
EROSION...WITH WASHOVERS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTH
SHORE OF LONG ISLAND.
...RIP CURRENTS...
INCREASINGLY HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL DEVELOP
TODAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH SURF CONDITIONS REMAINING DANGEROUS INTO
THE WEEKEND.

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1151 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010
...INCREASING RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS THIS WEEK...
...LOCALIZED WASHOVERS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY...
.BUILDING LONG PERIOD SWELLS FROM TROPICAL ACTIVITY IN THE
ATLANTIC WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASING RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS AT OCEAN BEACHES FOR THE REST OF THIS WEEK.
LOCALIZED WASHOVERS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY AT BEACHES EAST OF
MORICHES INLET.
STRONG RIP CURRENTS CAN MOVE YOU AWAY FROM THE SHORELINE VERY
QUICKLY. PLEASE CHECK WITH LIFEGUARDS BEFORE ENTERING THE WATER...
AND DO NOT SWIM IN UNSUPERVISED AREAS.
IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...STAY CALM AND DO NOT
FIGHT IT. SWIM PARALLEL TO THE SHORE UNTIL YOU BREAK FREE OF THE
CURRENT. THEN SWIM AT AN ANGLE...AWAY FROM THE CURRENT...TOWARD
THE SHORE. IF YOU ARE UNABLE TO ESCAPE BY SWIMMING...FLOAT OR
TREAD WATER. WHEN THE CURRENT WEAKENS...SWIM AT AN ANGLE AWAY
FROM THE CURRENT TOWARD THE SHORE. IF AT ANY TIME YOU FEEL YOU
WILL NOT BE ABLE TO REACH THE SHORE...DRAW ATTENTION TO YOURSELF
BY CALLING OR WAVING FOR HELP.
1151 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IMPLIES THAT WIND AND/OR WAVE
CONDITIONS SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF VERY STRONG RIP CURRENTS.
THESE RIP CURRENTS WILL BE LIFE THREATENING TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS
THE SURF.
IN ADDITION...LOCALIZED WASHOVERS ARE POSSIBLE.

HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
255 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010
...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF THE
AREA...BUT IMPACTS WILL STILL BE FELT...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN
SUFFOLK AND SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS AND NEW
YORK HARBOR.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...ESSEX...HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...QUEENS AND NASSAU.
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW LONDON.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS AND NEW
YORK HARBOR.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.7N...LONGITUDE 75.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTH
OF NEW YORK CITY NY...OR ABOUT 670 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
MONTAUK POINT NY. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH...OR 355 DEGREES AT 18
MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 125 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT ON LONG ISLAND...OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
NEW YORK CITY. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN LONG
ISLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS OF
LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM CAN BE FELT WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE
TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND
MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO
YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE
CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS
UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL
SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS
RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 7 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
255 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE
BLOWN AROUND. STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A
MOBILE HOME...AND DO SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 48
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS MAY INCREASE. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECAST FOR UPDATES. THE ONSET OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO
2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
INCLUDE THE SHORELINES ADJACENT TO LONG ISLAND SOUND DURING TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE...WHERE
...COASTAL HAZARDS...
LARGE WAVES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BEACH
EROSION...WITH WASHOVERS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC FACING
SHORELINES.
...RIP CURRENTS...
INCREASINGLY HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ON THE OCEAN
WILL DEVELOP TODAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH SURF CONDITIONS REMAINING
DANGEROUS INTO THE WEEKEND.